tagryn: (Death of Liet from Dune (TV))
[personal profile] tagryn
Schwarzenegger = Bush
Angelides = Grey Davis

That's going to be pretty much the slant of the political ads, so might as well brace for it. Schwarzenegger has the advantage over Angelides in charisma, but Angelides has the advantage of running as a Democrat in a "blue" state. Arnold didn't have to go negative or spend a lot of his war chest in the primary, but neither does he have a definitive issue like the failed initiatives in '05 to pin on Angelides either. Both sides know where to go negative, though; all the issues with each have been exposed, Angelides during the primary and Schwarzenegger during the recall election.

I think Schwarzenegger will win in the end. Angelides has to figure out a way to not come across as shrill or unlikeable when going one-on-one with Arnold, and I just don't think he has it in him. He's also got the problem of reconciling with the Wesley voters, without whom he has no chance of winning.

Not that it really matters personally, since we're out of here in a couple of months anyway.
(then we get to be exposed to the workings of D.C. politics up close. Oh, joy.)

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tagryn

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