Mexico in danger?
Jan. 14th, 2009 08:46 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
tagrynI consider the prospect of a collapse of the Mexican government under pressure from the drug cartels the #1 security threat facing the U.S., mainly because of proximity. Islamist ambitions in Pakistan and in other areas are a long-term danger, but the more I've been reading about how bad things have been getting in Mexico, to the point of the cartels reaching across the border to do hits in Phoenix, it should be a major worry for the incoming Administration. Think of it as the possibility of Somalia or Haiti on the southern border.
In addition to the cartels, a Mexican collapse would also give MS-13 a free hand there, which would probably result in a major expansion of their operations here. That would be a very, very bad thing. There's also some early evidence that the deteriorating conditions in Mexico have been affecting migration patterns, and not in a good way: instead of migrating for jobs - which are less available because of the recession - it is possible that Mexicans are not migrating back home due to security concerns.
Worth keeping an eye on.
In addition to the cartels, a Mexican collapse would also give MS-13 a free hand there, which would probably result in a major expansion of their operations here. That would be a very, very bad thing. There's also some early evidence that the deteriorating conditions in Mexico have been affecting migration patterns, and not in a good way: instead of migrating for jobs - which are less available because of the recession - it is possible that Mexicans are not migrating back home due to security concerns.
Worth keeping an eye on.
